Davis hopes to give Brewers series win over Rockies
Baseball Betting Lines
04/07/2010 -
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Brewers' offense set the pace last night in the club's
first victory of the young season. Now an old friend will try to help them to
their first series win over the Rockies in three seasons.
Doug Davis returns to the Milwaukee rotation this afternoon in the rubber
match of a three-game series with Colorado at Miller Park.
After falling behind by a run in the top of the first inning on an RBI single
by the Rockies' Todd Helton, Casey McGehee responded in the bottom of the
frame with a three-run homer, and Rickie Weeks also went deep in helping guide
the Brewers to a 7-5 victory. Milwaukee snapped a seven-game skid to Colorado
that included a 5-3 loss on Opening Day on Monday.
Prince Fielder reached base four times, going 2-for-2 with a pair of walks,
scored three times and drove in a run, while Randy Wolf (1-0) gave up four
runs on nine hits over 6 2/3 innings of his Milwaukee debut while striking out
eight. Trevor Hoffman notched his 592nd career save despite allowing a run in
the ninth.
"The fans here are great. Milwaukee isn't the biggest city; I think this team
is very exciting to the fans, and that was one of the factors in coming over
here (from the Dodgers)," said Wolf, who signed a three-year deal this
offseason. "I like watching the team when I'm not pitching."
Wolf will be followed today by another new face to Milwaukee's rotation,
though Davis is hardly a stranger in Wisconsin. The left-hander pitched with
the Brewers from parts of the 2003 season through all of 2006 before spending
the last three seasons with Arizona. Davis signed a one-year deal with the
Brewers this past winter.
Davis was 9-14 with a 4.12 earned run average in 34 starts last year with
Arizona and topped 200 innings for the first time since 2006 with the Brewers.
The 34-year-old will try to snap a four decision losing streak to the Rockies
this afternoon and post his first win over the club since April 15, 2007. He
is just 2-6 with a 4.97 ERA in his career versus Colorado and he lost all
three starts versus the club last year, allowing 15 runs over 13 1/3 innings
of work.
Davis will try to slow down the Rockies' Ian Stewart, who has homered in
consecutive games to begin the season. Stewart fell a single shy of the cycle
in last night's loss as Colorado failed to post its first 2-0 start since
2001. He is 3-for-8 lifetime against Davis with a home run.
Helton ended with three hits and Carlos Gonzalez drove in two runs, but Greg
Smith (0-1) allowed five runs on four hits and two walks in five innings
in his first major league appearance since 2008 while with Oakland.
"Certainly, I would have liked to have the first inning back," said Rockies
manager Jim Tracy. "We were a foul tip from getting out of that inning with a
zero. That was the difference in the game as far as I'm concerned."
Right-hander Aaron Cook will try to help the Rockies avoid their first series
loss to the Brewers since they dropped two of three in Milwaukee on July
13-15, 2007. Colorado has gone 14-4 over its last 18 overall encounters with
the Brew Crew and has taken four of its last five at Miller Park as well.
Cook won 16 games in 2008 and finished last season 11-6 with a 4.16 ERA in 27
starts a season ago. The 31-year-old has enjoyed facing the Brewers, a club he
is 6-2 against lifetime with a 3.02 ERA. Cook hasn't lost to Milwaukee since
Aug. 22, 2006 and he held the club to a run over eight innings when he last
faced them, a 9-2 victory on Oct. 1 that clinched a playoff berth for
Colorado.
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While the NFL is the sport wagered on the heaviest, college football betting lines has become more and more popular as people realize it’s a game that can be beat. The NCAA football season gets longer each year with the addition of numerous bowl games and with that comes more opportunities for more money in your pocket, if handled correctly.
Betting on college football is not the same as with the NFL, so make sure you separate the two. Because of the vast number of teams, the parity between college football programs is slight and thus, you are going to see some high numbers in the NCAA. Teams favored by more than 40 points are not uncommon especially early in the season when teams playing their non-conference schedules.
The best advice when trying to tackle these enormous spreads and is to just stay away. A team that is favored by 40 points is favored by that many for a reason while teams getting 40 points are bad enough that they shouldn’t be touched. Set yourself a spread limit. Getting rid of these games will cut down on the number of contests that you need to handicap while staying away from backdoor or front-door covers.
What is a backdoor and front-door cover you ask? A backdoor cover is a team that is getting beat by more than the spread, but scores late to get within that number thus covering the spread. A front-door cover is just the opposite where the favorite scores late and covers the number they are favored by.
These front-door and backdoor covers are common when second and third string players enter games in college football and it can be the worst nightmare for some bettors. These players can also be your best friend, but ask any bettor and he will give you more instances on losing in this situation than winning. It just seems to work out that way even though everything evens out in the end.
College football betting has some of the softest lines of any sport and it’s being able to find these lines that will make you a successful college football handicapper. The NFL and NBA have the tightest lines around and while those sports can be beat by looking at situations and systems, college football doesn’t quite work that way. It’s much more manual, but when done correctly, it’s much more gratifying as well.
Getting into the nuts and bolts of college football means looking at the many stats in order to beat the number. As opposed to pro football, college football is less dependent on situations and angles and more on certain statistics. Rushing offense and defense, pass efficiency offense and defense and turnover margins are huge. These are vital in the NFL, but even more so when it comes to college football.
Being able to run the ball in college football has always been a key factor in the overall success of a team. The same adage also goes for teams who have the ability to stop the run. Putting these two factors together can produce some positive results in a team’s record both straight up and against the spread. These numbers show huge differences in teams and the spread may not take those into effect, which is where the value comes into play.
Passing yardage numbers both for and against can be a misinterpreted statistic. However, pass efficiency has always been one of the best ways to look at a teams’ passing game ability both offensively and defensively. But is it really a true indication of how they perform? I wouldn’t say so since they are raw passing numbers with nothing else taken into consideration.
I use pass efficiency ratings when doing my handicapping but I adjust my numbers based on a number of factors including power ratings, strength of schedules, personnel and injuries. This gives a much better picture of a team’s ability to pass effectively and also being able to defend the pass. Tweaking pass efficiency stats instead of raw passing yards is the key.
Turnovers are the single most frustrating, and at times the most gratifying, aspect of a college football lines, mostly because they are so unpredictable. They are part of the game and most of the time nothing can be done to control them. However, turnovers are contagious and they can carry over from game to game and season to season.
It’s important to know how to forecast these unforeseen events and how to use them to your advantage. You can find ways to give yourself an edge by looking at past histories of teams and coaches and how they have fared in turnover wars in the past. Instead of turnovers hurting you at the wrong times, find ways to use them to your advantage.
As you can see, college football handicapping is very labor intensive and isn’t just based on where teams are ranked in the AP and coaches polls. Experience, coaching and match-ups are all important since unlike the NFL, college teams turn over much more often with new personnel at most positions every single year. Keeping current on this information is vital.
Betting NCAA football can be lucrative if done correctly, but more importantly, it’s just plain enjoyable because it can be beat. College football is one of the best sports to watch with some of the best rivalries taking place in all of sports. The only downfall is that a championship isn’t decided on the field but on a computer-based system that is the Bowl Championship Series. That will change someday and we will all be better off for it.
To visit this online sportsbook got to MySportsbook.com for all your NCAA college football betting needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.
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