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Gaels and 'Cats clash in second round of NCAA Tournament

NCAA Basketball Betting Lines

03/20/2010 - Providence, RI (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - With a trip to the "Sweet 16" on the line, the Villanova Wildcats will battle the Saint Mary's-CA Gaels in the second round of the 2010 NCAA Tournament from the Dunkin' Donuts Center in Providence, Rhode Island.

The Gaels collected their first NCAA Tournament victory in 51 years when they defeated Richmond, 80-71, in the first round on Thursday. It was just the second victory for the Gaels in the Big Dance, as the team is now 2-5 all-time in this event. Saint Mary's earned a spot in its sixth NCAA Tournament by posting a 26-5 mark during the season, while also claiming the West Coast Conference Tournament title.

The Wildcats had a bit of a scare in the first round, but the team was eventually able to get past Robert Morris in overtime, 73-70. It was the third straight year Villanova has won its first round game, and the team is now an impressive 49-30 all-time in this event. The Wildcats earned the second seed in the South Region by entering the tournament with a 24-7 ledger, and that is the highest seed for the Wildcats since the 2005-06 campaign when the team earned a top seed in the Big Dance.

This will be the third-ever meeting between the two schools on the hardwood. The Gaels grabbed a 65-64 decision over Villanova in the first matchup, but the Wildcats retaliated with an 89-78 victory over Saint Mary's in the second meeting.

The winner of this contest will move into the "Sweet 16" where they will battle either Old Dominion or Baylor.

The Gaels were simply too much for Richmond in their first round matchup, as Saint Mary's dominated play in the paint, en route to the nine-point win over the Spiders. Saint Mary's controlled the play on the boards in the matchup, outrebounding Richmond by a whopping 40-17 margin. Omar Samhan had his way, as the center posted a double-double of 29 points and 12 rebounds for the Gaels, who as a team shot 49.1 percent from the floor and also connected on 20-of-28 attempts from the foul line. Mickey McConnell added 23 points, six rebounds and four assists, while Clint Steindl tallied 11 points. Throughout the season Saint Mary's has relied on the play of Samhan, who is currently averaging a double-double of 21.2 ppg and 11.0 rpg. McConnell is contributing 14.0 ppg and a team-best 169 assists, while Matthew Dellavedova is posting 12.3 ppg, to go along with 144 assists.

It was not pretty, but the Wildcats somehow clawed their way to an overtime victory over Robert Morris in the first round. Villanova was supposed to breeze past the Colonials, but the team was ice cold from the floor, connecting on just 35.3 percent of its field goal attempts, including just 6- of-22 shots from behind the arc. However, the Wildcats were bailed out by their success at the foul line, as Villanova made 31-of-40 shots at the charity stripe. Scottie Reynolds only made 2-of-15 of his shots in the matchup, but the guard still managed to finish with 20 points, thanks to a 15- of-16 clip from the foul line. Mouphtaou Yarou added 17 points and eight rebounds, while Taylor King tallied 10 points off the bench. Despite the poor shooting effort against Richmond, Reynolds is still leading the way for Villanova, as the guard is posting 18.6 ppg, to go along with 105 assists. Corey Fisher is contributing 13.5 ppg and a team-best 127 assists, while Antonio Pena is chipping in 10.6 ppg, to go along with a team-best 7.2 rpg.


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Numerous College Basketball teams take final big step to March Madness betting

So, what turned on the lock spigot? Well, after what felt like weeks of teams treading water and slipping back into the bubble muck, a bunch of them finally decided to say "to heck with parity" and won games that should put them into the Big Dance.

Disagree with some of these? Then here's the challenge. Take all of the "should be ins" and make a legit case that each should be ahead of the team that's a lock. Then find 10 more teams that also should be placed in the bracket ahead of that lock team. Not so easy, is it?

If you want more evidence that these locks should be good to go, check out what our research department dug up. Since the NCAA Tournament went to 64 teams in 1985, only six teams from a "big six" conference have had a record of 10-6 or better in conference play and not been selected: Colorado (2004) and Nebraska (1999) from the Big 12, Boston College and Seton Hall (both 2003) from the Big East, Indiana (2005) from the Big Ten and UCLA, which somehow went 12-6 in the Pac-10 in 1988 and still missed out. (Note: Five teams went 11-7 and didn't get in, the latest being last season's Stanford team, which had a brutal nonconference run.)

Yes, 10 conference wins doesn't always mean what it used to because of unbalanced schedules, but this season, it should be plenty good in all but the extreme cases (see: Iowa).

In a way, this is a welcome development, because this is a bubble watch, not a lock watch. We can finally be done with teams like Maryland and Virginia Tech and start really bearing down on at-large battles such as Syracuse-West Virginia and Appalachian State-Georgia Tech.

Interestingly, all the shifting of teams into lock status appears to be more administrative than impactful. The number of remaining available at-larges didn't change one iota. The only difference is that teams on the bubble now have a clearer idea of which team(s) they are competing with for those precious bids.

The Bubble Breakdown
CONFERENCE LOCKS SHOULD BE INS AT-LARGES TAKEN
(assuming no auto bid outlier)
ACC Betting Odds 6 0 5
Big East Betting Odds 5 0 4
Big Ten Betting Odds 2 2 3
Big 12 Betting Odds 3 0 2
Pac-10 Betting Odds 5 1 5
SEC Betting Odds 4 0 3
MVC Betting Odds 1 1 1
MWC Betting Odds 2 1 2
TOTAL 28 5 25

As always, I've tried to be as inclusive as possible while only including teams that would have a reasonable chance of at least being discussed if this were Selection Sunday. If your team's not on here, there's probably a good reason (or three) -- start with the RPI and SOS numbers and work your way down.

(Please remember, per selection committee criteria, that records displayed are Division I only. Next update: Feb. 28)

If you have a legitimate grievance, or just like talking bubble, send an e-mail. Polite ones with fact-based arguments have a much better chance of receiving a response. I apologize in advance if I can't get back to all of you.

Atlantic Coast Conference

Work left to do: Clemson, Florida State, Georgia Tech

The ACC moves to six locks as BC, Va Tech and Virginia all got their 10th ACC wins, which should be more than enough this season, and Maryland rallied past North Carolina to get the final piece the Terps needed. After that? It could end there unless FSU, Ga Tech or Clemson picks things up in a hurry.

 

Work left to do:

Clemson [19-9 (5-9), RPI: 41, SOS: 42] The Tigers are closer to locking up the collapse of the year award (in a good battle with OK State) than they are to grabbing an at-large. Clemson's been very competitive, but there's no really positive way you can spin nine losses in 11 games. They now cannot get to .500 in ACC play and still must head to Virginia Tech in the season finale (after hosting Miami). Unless the Tigers win both and/or do some serious work in the ACC tourney, they very well could be left out. There are no great nonconference wins, but ODU, App State, Miss. State, South Carolina and Georgia are all respectable W's.

Florida State [18-11 (6-9), RPI: 48, SOS: 14] The Noles got thrashed at Maryland to run their losing streak to five, but then pounded NC State at home to set the table for what likely is an elimination game at Miami. You can at least make a case for the Seminoles at 7-9 in ACC play (and some work in the ACC tourney), but 6-10 is not going to cut it. Wins at Duke and over Florida will resonate, but the computer numbers remain questionable. Beyond Florida, FSU thrashed bubble buddy Providence, but there's not a ton beyond those two games that will help. They didn't show well in big-time opportunities against Pitt and Wisconsin (before the Florida win).

Georgia Tech [18-10 (6-8), RPI: 51, SOS: 46] The Jackets beat Wake on Wednesday but couldn't get it done at UVa on Saturday, which could be a crucial loss with UNC and BC (both at home) remaining and 8-8 almost a certain need for at-large consideration. A nonconference win over Memphis helps, but the RPI and SOS are not at-large quality right now; if you combine those with a sub-.500 ACC mark, that could spell NIT for GT.

For more College Basketball betting lines go to MySportsbook.com

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